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Adjoint credit risk management

Adjoint algorithmic differentiation is one of the principal innovations in risk management in recent times. Luca Capriotti and Jacky Lee show how this technique can be used to compute real-time risk...

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Credit exposure models backtesting for Basel III

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has introduced strict regulatory guidance on how to validate and backtest internal model methods for credit exposure. Fabrizio Anfuso, Dimitrios Karyampas and...

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How to hedge CVA without being hurt

Banks can reduce their CVA capital burden by using regulator-approved hedges, but only at the risk of painful accounting losses. The solution is a new hedging instrument that works under both regimes....

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Path-consistent wrong-way risk

In this paper, Klaus Böcker and Michael Brunnbauer define a general copula wrong-way risk (WWR) model and show how different copulas affect results such as potential future exposure and credit...

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Credit portfolio manager of the year: Crédit Agricole

Innovative structuring allowed Crédit Agricole to transfer trade finance risk to an arm of the World Bank, freeing up capital. The bank's CPM team also saw its role expand to cover liquidity and funding

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CCPs confront the difficult maths of default management

When a member of a clearing house goes down, surviving banks send some of their coolest heads to help run the default management process. It worked well when Lehman Brothers collapsed, but there are...

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IMF report calls for reform of securitisation markets

Staff report emphasises need to make securitisation practices more robust while spurring demand; calls for standardised classifications of underlying risk characteristics

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Warehousing credit risk: pricing, capital and tax

Warehousing of credit risk increases capital requirements and influences profit and loss. Profits are taxable and losses provide tax credits. Here, Chris Kenyon and Andrew Green extend the...

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BIS research posits test for unsustainable credit growth

Authors link long-run credit growth with leverage and debt service ratio, proposing a model they claim would have helped predict the 2008 financial crisis three years before it struck

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Malaysia central bank: credit reporting could unite Asean markets

The Asean Economic Community faces a challenge of successfully integrating regional financial markets, Bank Negara's Muhammad bin Ibrahim says

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Banks attack proposed risk weights for specialised loans

EU lenders say both of the EBA’s suggested methods for risk-weighting real estate and other specialised loans would distort regulatory capital

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Wrong-way risk done right

Here, Jacky Lee and Luca Capriotti present an arbitrage-free valuation framework for the counterparty exposure of credit derivatives portfolios. The method is able to consistently capture the effects...

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FVA for general instruments

Computing the funding valuation adjustment (FVA) is hard, as it requires the numerical solution of generally non-linear partial differential equations. In this paper, Alexander Antonov, Marco...

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Jumping with default: wrong-way risk modelling for CVA

Fabio Mercurio and Minqiang Li investigate credit valuation adjustments (CVAs) in the presence of wrong-way risk by introducing jumps at default to model the correlation between counterparty default...

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CVA with Greeks and AAD

Calculating CVA is a daunting task. Here, Adil Reghai, Othmane Kettani and Marouen Messaoud introduce a new approach for CVA valuation in a Monte Carlo setting using adjoint algorithmic...

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Industry fears grow ahead of Basel IRB consultation

Biggest share of bank capital at stake as regulators take aim at credit models

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Banking redefined: Helping clients succeed in the new market structure

The relationship between banks and their clients is changing. Clients face a range of new challenges arising from higher capital requirements and changing market structure, notes Mark Goodman, UBS...

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Loan classification under IFRS 9

IFRS 9 requires classifying non-defaulted loans in two stages depending on their credit quality evolution since initial recognition by the bank. In this paper, Vivien Brunel proposes an optimal way to...

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Interview: US Treasury CRO on credit risk, Tarp and cyber threats

Ken Phelan stresses importance of credit risk management in key Treasury role

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Banks: OCC guidance forced downgrade of healthy energy loans

Loans with low loss given defaults now considered impaired, lenders complain

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Multiple NPL models better than single models, research finds

Combinations of models produce better NPL estimates in study of Greek crisis

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Basel set to decide on capital relief for accounting changes

Phase-in to IFRS 9 and Cecl needed to avert "a dramatic overnight drop in regulatory capital", say auditors

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Banks seek capital relief for ECL reserves

Capital rules fail to recognise risk-reducing effect of loss reserves, lenders say

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CLO investors fret as rate hikes loom

Rising default rates could trigger a stampede out of the market

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Spike in bad loans raises scrutiny of P2P credit models

Jump in delinquencies at some lenders prompts questions over modelling practices, but firms stand by their approach

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Banks look to repurpose credit risk models for IFRS 9

Dealers adapt capital models for new accounting standard, but shortcut has challenges

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Monthly credit data review: gloomier than spreads suggest

David Carruthers of Credit Benchmark looks at banks’ credit risk data

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Risk managers in power struggle over IFRS 9 model development

Putting accounting specialists in charge of IFRS 9 models is ‘not optimal’

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Managing and monitoring a single view of concentration risk

Banking standards for monitoring and controlling large exposures have uncovered a need for tools that can streamline credit risk management systems and create a single enterprise-wide view of risk as...

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Exploring a new frontier: Using cognitive technology to strengthen credit...

Cognitive technology has the power to enhance the efficiency and accuracy of credit risk management practices, but views on implementation remain mixed. As these new technologies become more...

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Monthly credit data review: the Amazon effect and a rising Russian state

David Carruthers of Credit Benchmark looks at bank, sovereign and corporate credit risk data

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Monthly credit data review: energy sector firing on all cylinders

Bank-sourced credit data shows rising confidence about oil and gas firms

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Calibrating Heston for credit risk

Marco de Innocentis and Sergei Levendorskiĭ describe a faster and more accurate method for market-implied calibration of the Heston model

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Monthly credit data review: UK corporates’ post-Brexit slide

UK financials show steady post-Brexit decline in credit quality; EU financials now on par

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Credit data: Brexit gloom lifting for UK companies?

David Carruthers of Credit Benchmark looks at the most recent trends in bank-sourced credit data

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Does credit risk need an expected shortfall-style revamp?

Quants propose tail risk-sensitive measure for counterparty credit risk

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Morgan Stanley, Wells not sold on AI for credit scoring

Risk USA: Lenders warn on AI model risks and use of non-traditional data

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Credit risk – Building on a foundation of quality data

Credit risk analysts at emerging market banks not only need high-quality data, but also the necessary tools to manage it. Improving consistency and reducing the risk of errors in credit risk data...

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Credit risk rethought – The new data imperative

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The outlook for 2021 – Credit risk

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PBs get new help in war on generosity

Big FX venue operators offer way to reduce overallocation of credit

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Natural language processing and transformer models for credit risk

News feeds are factored into models to predict credit events

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Accelerating the evolution of credit decisioning and modelling

Anthony Mancuso, director, global head of risk modelling and decisioning at SAS explains the importance of developing a fully capable credit modelling lifecycle to empower non-specialist personnel, and...

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Driving greater value in credit risk and modelling

A forum of industry leaders discusses the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and strategies to adapt to a more stringent regulatory framework in...

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The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But...

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Credit risk & modelling – Special report 2021

This Risk special report provides an insight on the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and the strategies they are deploying to adapt to a more...

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XVAs and counterparty credit risk for energy markets: addressing the...

In this webinar, a panel of quantitative researchers and risk practitioners from banks, energy firms and a software vendor discuss practical challenges in the modelling and risk management of XVAs and...

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Sec-lending haircuts and indemnification pricing

A pricing method for borrowed securities that includes haircut and indemnification is introduced

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Shadow banks eye accounts receivable as lenders retreat

Providing loans against unpaid invoices is an old business that is being done in some very new ways. Facing increased capital costs, banks are retreating into a distribution and structuring role, with...

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Exposing actionable insights in credit risk management

Business leaders from Moody’s Analytics and Qlik discuss the value of industry data and visual analytics

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